Clippers resume road trip vs. 76ers

Basketball Betting Lines

02/10/2012 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia 76ers will close out a seven-game stretch that head coach Doug Collins dubbed as "Death Row" when they entertain the upstart Los Angeles Clippers tonight from Wells Fargo Center.

The Sixers are 4-2 on the meaty schedule against NBA powerhouses Orlando, Chicago, Miami, Atlanta, the Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio, but dropped a 100-90 decision to the Spurs Wednesday night in the second installment of a three-game homestand. Lou Williams and Thaddeus Young scored 22 and 16 points, respectively, off the bench and Andre Iguodala posted 17 and seven rebounds for Philadelphia, which lost for the second time in eight tries and had a four-game home winning streak cut short.

Jrue Holiday had 15 points and Elton Brand returned from a two-game absence because of a thumb injury to notch 11 points and 13 boards.

"This is a world championship team and organization," Collins said of the Spurs. "Pop is a great coach. They string you out. They get you in pick-and- roll and put three-point shooters on the floor."

Collins' squad is still a solid 13-4 in south Philly this season and will play three straight and seven of eight games on the road after tonight. 76ers center Spencer Hawes was out with a strained left Achilles. He missed 10 straight games, then returned for two and aggravated the injury again. The Atlantic Division-leading Sixers fell to 0-5 when allowing 100 or more points.

Philadelphia has yet to lose consecutive games this season. On Thursday, Iguodala was named as a reserve for the Eastern Conference All-Star squad. It is the first All-Star appearance for Iguodala, now in his eighth season in the league and with the 76ers. He is averaging 13 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 1.8 steals this season.

"I could not be more proud of Andre Iguodala for being recognized as an All- Star," Collins said. "Andre has meant so much to the success of our team this season and he is one of the most talented, unselfish players I have ever had the opportunity to coach - the entire 76ers organization, our coaching staff, his teammates and I are thrilled he will be representing us in this year's All-Star game."

The Clippers will continue their 11-day, six-game road trip tonight and are 2-1 on the sojourn following Wednesday's 99-92 loss at Cleveland.

Chris Paul finished with 16 points and 12 assists, while Blake Griffin had 25 points and 15 boards for the Clippers, who had won six of their last seven games entering the game. Caron Butler had 21 points in the loss and Randy Foye started in place of injured guard Chauncey Billups, who is out for the season after suffering a torn left Achilles in Monday's game, and recorded 15 points.

"We came out flat, I couldn't make a shot, we didn't defend well" said Paul.

Paul and Griffin were voted as starters for the West's All-Star team.

New Clippers forward Kenyon Martin made his season debut and scored six points. Martin played for the Xinjiang Tigers of the Chinese Basketball Association during the NBA lockout, and was contractually obligated to wait until the end of the Tigers' season before returning to the NBA. He was cleared to play by FIBA, basketball's international governing body last week.

Los Angeles will also visit Charlotte and Dallas on the trek, and is 5-5 as the guest this season. It had a four-game road winning streak stopped in Cleveland and owns a 6-2 record against the Eastern Conference this season.

The Clippers lost both meetings with Philadelphia a season ago and is just 2-6 in the past eight matchups in this series. The Clippers have lost three of four and 12 of their last 14 visits to the City of Brotherly Love.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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